17 responses

  1. flip
    January 5, 2010

    “The Rise Of Southeast Asia”

    it’s like it’s crowded with tourists already except for Philippines which most people think is not part of Southeast Asia. hehehe

    just an additional:

    “Low Cost Carriers Thrives in 2010”

    because of the increasing number of cost conscious travelers…

    Ryan Air
    Air Asia
    Cebu Pacific
    etc…

    “Green Travel” and hopefully more info on “Responsible Tourism”

    because of constant info about global warming, environmental awareness etc

    Reply

    • Anil Polat
      January 6, 2010

      The Philippines being still under the radar is amazing and can’t pinpoint a good reason for it. One of my predictions back in 2008 was more ecotourism alternatives but it hasn’t really hit the general consciousness yet. The terms may have but I’m not convinced all of those green offerings are really so green.

      Reply

  2. JoAnna
    January 5, 2010

    I think Europe will become less popular and South America will become the new “major” getaway, especially for people living in North America.

    Reply

    • Anil Polat
      January 6, 2010

      It’s on my travel plans for 2010 🙂

      Reply

    • Melvin
      January 7, 2010

      I agree with you JoAnna.

      Reply

      • Sherry Ott
        January 8, 2010

        I’m also hoping to head to S. America this year. It sure is easier than flying half way around the world to SE Asia + less jet lag! However, I think that so many North Americans are still scared of developing country travel that it will effect their decisions. People with 1 week vacations still don’t like to rough it that much.
        Anil – thanks for the predictions – I hope your right about the niches that are available out there!

        Reply

      • Anil Polat
        January 10, 2010

        Me too Sherry, I’d like to see some creative travel projects in the coming year and have my fingers crossed!

        Reply

  3. Heather on her travels
    January 5, 2010

    You’re a brave one to make so many predictions – I think the more hidden charges one has already come true – low cost is not always what it seems.

    Reply

    • Anil Polat
      January 6, 2010

      My good streak in 2008 emboldened me last year. I hope I’m more on target with my predictions for 2010.

      Reply

  4. Nomadic Pinoy
    January 5, 2010

    It’s already sickening how airlines have increased fees on basic services and for others to follow suit would only create a scenario of nickel-and-diming travelers.

    Reply

    • Anil Polat
      January 6, 2010

      Seems like some of the fees were justifiable when they first appeared but funny how once a fee is set it sticks around (and often increases) even when the original reason for it disappears.

      Reply

  5. Jen L
    January 6, 2010

    Anil, a very well researched piece! I enjoyed reading it thoroughly. But why are airlines still losing billions of dollars? Is it because of the drop in tourism? I didn’t know the drop was that much! I guess it’s because I associate with a lot of travellers (like you), but didn’t really consider the fact that there’s only a small percentage of us who are CRAZY for travel. Most people still can’t afford it or has no interest in travelling…

    Reply

    • Anil Polat
      January 7, 2010

      Fuel prices are the biggest culprit. This hasn’t effected Southwest and several other carriers in the US turning a profit though. Here’s one explanation I found:

      “But the fare American needs to charge to make a profit is different from, say, that for Southwest Airlines (LUV, Fortune 500), which, thanks to prudent hedging in futures markets, is paying only $2.01 a gallon for its jet fuel.”

      Source: http://money.cnn.com/2008/04/28/magazines/fortune/gimbel_american.fortune/index.htm

      I also think the major airlines are slow to change and adapt. They have the luxury of government assistance which they can use when things get really bad. The effect makes them less competitive and creative in the long term.

      Reply

  6. Mark H
    January 7, 2010

    I can’t imagine what more they could charge fees for!! Australia are trying to make the airlines advertise their full price but it is a tough battle as airlines are creative. Some bold claims here – look forward to the midyear update on how your predictions are going!!

    Reply

    • Anil Polat
      January 8, 2010

      I like that initiative by the Australians. I hadn’t heard of it before but wish fees were more easily accessible before booking a flight.

      Reply

  7. Cecil Lee
    January 8, 2010

    Good prediction Anil. All of these will become true thanks to the weakened global economy especially those developed countries. Moreover all these trends will come to a conclusion that budget travellers like me will rule the industry! LoL 🙂

    Reply

    • Anil Polat
      January 8, 2010

      Thanks Cecil. There’s a growing crowd and travel mentality out there I’m waiting for the major players in the travel industry to pick up on. Of course if they don’t, there will be new big players to take their place.

      Reply

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